Multiple Sclerosis Mortality and Incidence Trends in the Middle East and North Africa
This study analyzed changes in multiple sclerosis (MS) mortality, incidence, and prevalence between the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) and global populations from 1990 to 2023. The findings revealed that while the global age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR) decreased, MENA's ASMR increased. Additionally, MS incidence and prevalence rates rose more sharply in MENA compared to global figures.
- Tags
- #MSResearch
- Most relevant to
- —
- Human efficacy
- Not established from this source
- Mechanism
- Not reported
- Evidence strength
- Limited
- Outcome
- Negative
Why it matters
These results indicate a growing burden of MS in the MENA region, particularly among females, highlighting an area of public health concern that could impact healthcare resources and policy.
What this does not prove
Uncertainty exists in the MENA ASMR estimates as the GBD (Global Burden of Disease) uncertainty interval included zero. These findings do not establish a cause-and-effect relationship and rely on observational data.
Next milestone
No next milestone was established from the available source.
Study facts
- Study design
- Observational
- Participants / samples
- Not reported
- Randomised
- Not reported
- Controlled
- Not reported
- Primary endpoint met
- Not reported
- Relevant MS type
- Not reported
- Publication date
- 2026-10-26
- Evidence reviewed
- Abstract only
- Regulatory approval
- Not reported
- Research areas
- Not classified
- Biological target
- Not reported
- Pathway
- Not reported
- Population
- Not reported
- Size of effect
- Not reported
- Secondary endpoints
- Not reported
- MRI endpoints
- Not reported
- Biomarkers
- Not reported
- Safety
- Not reported
Original sources
- Primary evidenceMultiple sclerosis burden: global versus MENA region (1990 to 2023), with mortality projections to 2050: A pairwise GBD analysis. ↗DOI: 10.1016/j.msard.2026.108028
Supporting passages (9)
study phasePublication types: Journal Article
study designINTRODUCTION: Multiple sclerosis (MS) burden is rising in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA), a region long considered low-prevalence.
subjectsThis study compared MS mortality, incidence, and prevalence between MENA and global populations from 1990 to 2023.
speciesINTRODUCTION: Multiple sclerosis (MS) burden is rising in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA), a region long considered low-prevalence.
peer reviewedPublication types: Journal Article
findingsMENA incidence (AAPC +0.33% vs -0.03%) and prevalence (+0.54% vs +0.26%) outpaced global rates, and female mortality in MENA outpaced male mortality (+2.22% vs +0.97%).
limitationsRESULTS: Global ASMR declined from 0.23 to 0.21 per 100,000 (AAPC -0.28%), whereas MENA ASMR rose from 0.14 to 0.24 (AAPC +1.67%; p < 0.001 versus global), although its GBD uncertainty interval included zero.
outcomeRising deaths in both populations largely reflect population growth and ageing.
publication datePublication date: 2026-10-26
AI assessment, not yet reviewed by a person · version 1 · Community votes are separate from evidence review.